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Published daily by the Lowy Institute

  • 28 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Coronavirus

    A mining boom to a dining boom and more economic consequences of Covid

    Tim Harcourt
    All at once, everything economic seemed to stop, and the aftermath will transform our experience of globalisation.
  • 23 Apr 2020
    • Asia
    • Global Economy
    • Energy

    Negative oil prices: Why Asian nations may struggle to take advantage

    Rachel Ziemba
    Demand has collapsed, storages are filling – yet Asia’s energy markets might not offer producers a financial lifeline.
  • 22 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • G20
    • Coronavirus

    Missing in action: The G20 in the Covid crisis

    Tom Chodor
    The supposed “premier forum” has by and large failed to rise to hopes of a broader mandate.
  • 21 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Energy
    • Coronavirus

    The complex consequences of a plunging oil price

    Christian Downie
    The cost of planes on runways and cars in garages looks very different with an economics, security, or governance lens.
  • 21 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Trade
    • Coronavirus

    The facts about global trade in face masks, ventilators and test kits

    John Edwards
    Policies that injure global trade in medical products would hurt the US and Western democratic allies more than most.
  • 17 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Coronavirus

    Flattening the economy costs lives, livelihoods and freedoms, too

    Ramesh Thakur
    Before the “Great Lockdown” we should have heeded the lessons of past catastrophic warnings that never came to be.
  • 17 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Coronavirus

    COVIDcast Episode 7: The cost to the international economy

    Alex Oliver , Roland Rajah
    The latest episode in a podcast to discuss the implications of coronavirus for Australia, the region, and the world.
  • 9 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Foreign Investment in Australia
    • Australia
    • Coronavirus

    Economic diplomacy: foreign investment under Covid, supply chain kinks

    Greg Earl
    Australia might worry about opportunistic takeover bids at home, but investment restrictions will hit the region more.
  • 9 Apr 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Coronavirus

    We’re all socialists now

    Mark Beeson
    With a spectre haunting the world, governments unite, with unimaginably radical solutions to save capitalism.
  • 26 Mar 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Coronavirus

    After coronavirus: Where the world economy will stand

    John Edwards
    Debt will grow, for government, business and individuals alike, with interest rates to stay low – but all under control.
  • 25 Mar 2020
    • Global Economy
    • G20
    • Coronavirus

    What the G20 needs to deliver

    Roland Rajah
    A global pandemic demands a global “whatever it takes”.
  • 12 Mar 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Australia's Economy
    • Coronavirus

    Economic diplomacy: Rising risks and missing links in a pandemic

    Greg Earl
    Covid-19 reveals a need for Australian exports beyond China, security plans for epidemics, and supply-chain smarts.
  • 27 Feb 2020
    • Asia
    • Global Economy
    • Pacific Islands

    Economic diplomacy: Mahathir’s APEC gamble, and aid corruption

    Greg Earl
    When is a loan not a loan, and should Australia really be propping up neighbours with a cash injection?
  • 30 Jan 2020
    • Asia
    • Global Economy
    • Diplomacy

    Economic diplomacy: APEC’s future, digital trade deals, and green debt

    Greg Earl
    Malaysian PM Mahathir controls the credibility of APEC, and China controls how emerging economies cut carbon emissions.
  • 29 Jan 2020
    • Global Economy
    • China
    • Coronavirus

    Coronavirus: One step forward, one step back for the global economy

    Roland Rajah
    Beyond the human toll, fears will stop people heading to shops, eating out, travelling, and cause other consumer costs.
  • 29 Jan 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Australia
    • India

    Scott Morrison wasn’t at the Raisina Dialogue, but his ideas were

    Darren Lim
    The political centre-right is seeking to redefine what “internationalism” means with an emphasis on sovereignty.
  • 28 Jan 2020
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • Trade
    • Australia
    • China

    The US is elbowing Australia and allies in a race for the China market

    John Edwards
    Australia needs to be very wary of how Donald Trump’s “unbelievable deal” will play out.
  • 21 Jan 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Pacific Islands

    Pacific development outlook for 2020

    Alexandre Dayant
    Following on last year’s growth, the region will continue to see both challenges and cause for optimism.
  • 21 Jan 2020
    • Global Economy
    • Southeast Asia

    The real winners in the trade war might be found in Southeast Asia

    Simon Roughneen
    The latest figures suggest strife in Hong Kong has also given a boost to the region’s economic fortunes.
  • 10 Jan 2020
    • Global Economy

    Indonesian economist Mari Pangestu is a World Bank Managing Director

    Peter McCawley
    In a win for Asia, Pangestu brings a practical bent that will hopefully ground some of the loftier Bank pronouncements.
  • 19 Dec 2019
    • Asia
    • Global Economy
    • Australia
    • China
    • India

    Economic diplomacy: Indian trade, taming BRI, and diaspora business

    Greg Earl
    Ahead of the PM’s visit to India next month, the economic strategies of Australia and India haven’t quite yet aligned.
  • 18 Dec 2019
    • Global Economy
    • US Economy

    Paul Volcker’s pragmatism: fighting inflation and financialization

    Wesley Widmaier
    Less an ideologue or demagogue, the former US Fed chair had an influence far beyond America, reaching Australia, too.
  • 21 Nov 2019
    • Asia
    • Global Economy
    • Pacific Islands
    • Australian Foreign Aid

    Economic diplomacy: Australia’s BRI, aid revamp, and integrating Asia

    Greg Earl
    The now snappily rebranded Export Finance Australia is becoming the go-to agency in the era of geo-economic competition.
  • 21 Nov 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • China
    • Review

    Book review: China, the US, and the big break

    Stephen Grenville
    Detailed reporting enlivens what is a substantive and important look at the world’s big economic test.
  • 7 Nov 2019
    • Asia
    • Global Economy
    • Trade
    • Asean

    Economic diplomacy: RCEP and ASEAN’s new way, plus voting ADB-style

    Greg Earl
    What was Factory Asia has made a subtle shift to a consumer-driven Market Asia under the “world’s biggest trade deal”.
  • 24 Oct 2019
    • Global Economy
    • Australia
    • Indonesia

    Economic diplomacy: Indonesia trade, ASIO business & deglobalisation

    Greg Earl
    Balancing national security and national prosperity – a range of views and the call for a range of resources.
  • 14 Oct 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • Trade
    • China

    US-China trade talks: No deal yet, but a breakthrough of sorts

    John Edwards
    Donald Trump has begun talking about “phases”, suggesting he has a more realistic expectation of what it is possible.
  • 10 Oct 2019
    • Global Economy
    • IMF
    • WTO
    • Asean

    Economic diplomacy: Auditing globalism, trade woes, ASEAN’s future

    Greg Earl
    Measuring and managing the world economy – and Australia’s place – sees a pushback to a “negative globalism” mantra.
  • 29 Aug 2019
    • Global Economy
    • Australia and Asia

    Economic diplomacy: Exporting education, tapping Vossies, more

    Greg Earl
    Australia grapples with sharp shifts in student numbers amid a parallel debate about standards and foreign influence.
  • 15 Aug 2019
    • Global Economy
    • China's Economy
    • US Economy
    • Australia's Economy

    Economic diplomacy: China dependency and a notable departure

    Greg Earl
    Australia seems set to end this year about twice as dependent on China for its two-way trade than on the United States.
  • 14 Aug 2019
    • Global Economy

    China’s “currency manipulation” in context

    Stephen Grenville
    China previously mirrored the policies of other emerging economies, with the same success – only on a huge scale.
  • 9 Aug 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • China

    US, China now have a three-week window to avert trade talks collapse

    John Edwards
    There will have to be a negotiation to enable negotiations to resume, and quick, otherwise the US election will intrude.
  • 7 Aug 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • China

    China-US currency clash: Who’s manipulating who?

    Roland Rajah
    Trumpian currency intervention is a bigger risk than China weaponising the renminbi.
  • 18 Jul 2019
    • Global Economy
    • Indonesia

    How Indonesia finds itself in the middle of a US-China trade war

    Retno Maruti
    <p>Jakarta is attempting to navigate tensions between Washington and Beijing by backing the multilateral system.</p>
  • 8 Jul 2019
    • Global Economy
    • IMF

    The race to be next IMF chief

    Mike Callaghan
    The old “gentleman’s agreement” will likely hold, with a European to take the top job, settled by a backroom deal.
  • 4 Jul 2019
    • Asia
    • Global Economy

    Economic diplomacy: Japan v Korea, and trade negotiation secrecy

    Greg Earl
    Japan’s sanctions on Korean electronics shows souring ties between notional partners in a dangerous part of the world.
  • 3 Jul 2019
    • Global Economy
    • Vietnam

    Vietnam shapes as a key winner from the US-China trade war

    Michael Sainsbury
    Vietnam’s economy is booming as the country plays off old enemies as new friends in technology and manufacturing.
  • 3 Jul 2019
    • Global Economy

    The limits to global monetary policy

    Stephen Grenville
    Already in “easy” mode and without the flexibility to move interest rates lower, other policies are needed.
  • 3 Jul 2019
    • Global Economy
    • India

    Lessons of globalisation: the vulnerable women of the Nokia factory

    Vani Swarupa Murali
    A technology giant transformed a small village in India promising jobs, yet at a cost to female workers that lingers.
  • 1 Jul 2019
    • Global Economy
    • G20

    Temper our optimism: the message from the G20 Leaders’ Summit in Osaka

    Merriden Varrall
    Overshadowed by US-China tensions, the shared sense of purpose that formed the G20 has almost entirely dissipated.
  • 28 Jun 2019
    • Global Economy
    • China's Economy
    • China

    China’s financial risk and lessons from the Baoshang Bank collapse

    Stephen Joske
    This incident has dented the Chinese government’s claim to be in control and the financial danger zone is approaching.
  • 25 Jun 2019
    • Global Economy
    • G20

    Osaka G20: finding the right beat for hard conversation

    Mike Callaghan
    Summits are too often harshly judged on what they deliver now rather than the agenda set for the future.
  • 20 Jun 2019
    • Global Economy
    • Trade
    • G20

    Economic diplomacy: G20 warms up, the China drip and open trade talks

    Greg Earl
    Could Japan’s Abe Shinzo – yes, Abe Shinzo – use his personal clout to give the flatlining G20 some new direction?
  • 18 Jun 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • China
    • Technology

    Are we ready for a rare earths trade war?

    Jeffrey Wilson
    As China holds extraordinary power over material essential to high-tech products, Australia is key to diversification.
  • 14 Jun 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • Iran

    Oman: credibility gulf will test White House

    Daniel Flitton
    The US was quick to blame Iran for the oil tankers stricken in the Oman Gulf, yet will Donald Trump convince the world?
  • 11 Jun 2019
    • Global Economy
    • Australia
    • Energy

    It’s time for Australia to scale up its energy diplomacy

    Christian Downie
    A huge transformation of global energy production and consumption is underway but sorely needs international governance.
  • 3 Jun 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • The Trump Presidency

    Trump’s Mexico tariffs an ominous sign for global economy

    Roland Rajah
    There is no appeasing a playground bully so why should countries bother to negotiate with the unreliable “Tariff Man”?
  • 28 May 2019
    • Global Economy
    • Japan's Economy
    • Japan

    America’s fiscal policy rethink reaches Japan

    Stephen Grenville
    A radical call urges Japan delay tackling chronic deficit and huge debt – and, of course, build no bridges-to-nowhere.
  • 28 May 2019
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • China
    • Technology

    Huawei and the decoupling dilemma

    Darren Lim , Victor Ferguson
    If Washington wants to liberalise China’s economy, it must also accept China’s deeper integration with global markets.
  • 23 May 2019
    • Asia
    • Global Economy
    • Australia's Trade

    Economic diplomacy: New trade agenda, Chinese rhinos, Made in ASEAN

    Greg Earl
    A government promise to cover 90% of Australia’s trade with FTAs went largely unheralded during the election campaign.
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