20 Dec 2024
Trump’s relations with the Blue Pacific
The second Trump administration will find a region different from when last in office.
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19 Dec 2024
An opposition party could hold the deciding vote on Japan’s national security policy
Minority government has its challenges, as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is discovering. -
16 Dec 2024
Taiwan and Ukraine: Learning the right lessons
The Ukraine experience has turbocharged Taiwan's learning about modern war. -
13 Dec 2024
Ignoring the real biowarfare threat
The sudden renovation at an old Soviet biological weapons site needs to be better explained. -
12 Dec 2024
The trouble with Australia’s best friends in Asia
Political turmoil in Japan and South Korea cannot be insulated from relations with the region. -
11 Dec 2024
An ounce of prevention: Nauru deal puts defence spending in a different light
Australia’s Nauru deal is a victory for preventive diplomacy, closing off any possibility of a Chinese security presence. -
4 Dec 2024
“Narco-subs” in the Pacific demonstrates need for effective maritime security cooperation
Criminals are always looking for an edge. Listening to what the Pacific needs and coordinating maritime security responses will help blunt the threat. -
26 Nov 2024
Balancing the books on Australian statecraft
It should be easier to judge the budget against the warnings of challenging times. -
25 Nov 2024
Weak link or “frontline ally”? Where the Philippines will fit into Trump’s rivalry with China
US-supplied Typhon missiles are on Manila’s wish list but could come with a catch. -
22 Nov 2024
Russia escalates, strikes Ukraine with a new missile, warns West
Putin wants to target Europe’s commitment to support Ukraine. -
20 Nov 2024
Has the time finally come for a European defence?
Talk might be finally giving way to action. Maybe. -
15 Nov 2024
China makes a statement at the Zhuhai air show
The biannual event showcases China's technological and military ambitions, and offers some surprises this year. -
14 Nov 2024
Will the Intelligence Review bring DIO into the light?
Australia's Defence Intelligence Organisation is a national resource, and it should have a profile to match. -
4 Nov 2024
Victory in 21st century conflict
Western powers need to re-acquaint themselves with a concept that is out of fashion. -
30 Oct 2024
Costs vs benefits in Pat Conroy's new missile age
Missiles are expensive, and the further they need to travel, the dearer they get. That should be good news for Australia. -
29 Oct 2024
India’s historic shift in attitude about a US base at Diego Garcia
Scouring the archival records is revealing of New Delhi’s changing strategic priorities. -
28 Oct 2024
What a Trump return might mean for AUKUS and the Quad
A nascent regional security “minilateral” architecture is vulnerable to Trump’s brand of disruption. -
25 Oct 2024
Prabowo’s China challenge around the Natuna Islands
An early confrontation might not be the message first thought. -
14 Oct 2024
The risk of a Timor-like intervention still shapes Indonesia’s view of security
As Prabowo Subianto prepares to take the reins, it’s doubtful that China worries him most. -
11 Oct 2024
The Black Sea battle: Learning the right maritime lessons from Ukraine
Ukraine’s effective strategy in the Black Sea offers a masterclass in how a smaller, determined naval force can challenge a much larger one. -
8 Oct 2024
When the friendly skies above go dark, rockets light up
How airspace closures signal the geopolitical strategies unfolding in the Middle East. -
8 Oct 2024
Does Finland’s "total defence" doctrine hold lessons for Australia?
Liberal democracy doesn’t defend itself. The Finns know a thing or two about protecting it. -
4 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and national security: The rising cost of military leadership
A Harris administration is unlikely to reverse America’s eroding military advantage over China. -
1 Oct 2024
Trump and Asian security
Ideological and policy tribalism is a feature of every presidency. The new Trump team will be no different. -
18 Sep 2024
Pager bombs: Precision warfare takes a personal turn in Lebanon
The implications of this attack stretch far beyond Hezbollah to future threats. -
17 Sep 2024
A step-change to Beijing's "lawfare" in the South China Sea
The “salami slice” approach to island building in the South China Sea has worked well for China. The world risks seeing that same approach repeated in international law. -
12 Sep 2024
The implausibility of a Taiwan blockade
If all-out war is an inevitable consequence of a blockade, why wouldn't China cut to the chase and start the war immediately? -
11 Sep 2024
A step, not a leap: Assessing the Indonesia-Australia Defence Cooperation Agreement
As a statement of neighbourly ties, the deal is a good one. But temper expectations. -
9 Sep 2024
South China Sea: The “transparency initiative” success is plain to see
But pressure on the Philippines means that its key partners must step up more. -
6 Sep 2024
Iran’s shadow hand in Houthi Red Sea attacks
How the Houthis and Iranians work together isn’t absolutely clear – but stopping the threat to shipping requires more than shooting down incoming missiles and extends to disrupting an intelligence and targeting system. -
5 Sep 2024
Is AUKUS Pillar II growing too quickly?
More ambition and more members can’t be a mask for success. -
27 Aug 2024
Indonesia pledges closer defence ties with Australia one day – military drills with China the next
Jakarta carries risks while seeking the rewards of its friends to all approach to defence diplomacy. -
22 Aug 2024
AUKUS: The Singapore Strategy Redux
Successive governments are making the nation vulnerable to a repeat performance. -
21 Aug 2024
Surprise and modern war
The Kursk offensive is a reminder of the enduring power of surprise. Prudence suggests that Australia needs be prepared. -
16 Aug 2024
Interoperability: The missing link in Indo-Pacific security
Settling on a definition of an overused buzzword is the first step for Australia to ensure successful military partnerships in Southeast Asia. -
14 Aug 2024
Beijing’s Baltic confession exposes undersea vulnerability
While China claims a blunder, its ship cutting a pipeline and cable last year leaves transparency questions aplenty. -
6 Aug 2024
A respite for the Sierra Madre, but Philippines-China tensions remain
A provisional understanding is just that. Much now depends on China’s behaviour and its record is not encouraging. -
5 Aug 2024
Thinking the “unthinkable” again?
Security motivations alone rarely explain decisions to “go nuclear”. Australia’s history on the question is complex. -
5 Aug 2024
Marcos vs Duterte: Domestic politics meets grand strategy
Doubts linger regarding the longevity of Manila’s forward-leaning stance on regional security. -
2 Aug 2024
What Australia can learn from Ukraine's long-range strike weapons
Ukraine now has multiple options for strike operations at an affordable cost. This is exactly what the Australian Defence Force needs. -
23 Jul 2024
ASEAN centrality stands in the way of an Indonesia-Australia alliance
While Jakarta’s non-alignment approach makes a pact unlikely any time soon, common strategic objectives can still be achieved. -
18 Jul 2024
Philippines-Japan security pact puts China on notice
Though both nations recognise the indispensability of Washington, they are also hedging against future uncertainties. -
17 Jul 2024
Moving beyond the grey zone: The case for ICAD
Why some Indo-Pacific nations are renaming the place between peace and war. -
17 Jul 2024
A second suitable piece of real estate
The geostrategic significance of revamped submarine facilities off the WA coast echoes its utility from 80 years back. -
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12 Jul 2024
Testing the climate for AUKUS
The deterrence effects of nuclear-powered submarines are easily overstated, and the boats won’t fulfil Australia’s most pressing security needs in a changing environment. -
10 Jul 2024
Cable ties: Defending seabed lines of communication
Underwater vulnerabilities need to be far more prominent in the conversation. -
8 Jul 2024
The NATO summit in Washington will be critical to Australia’s interests
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese should have gone. -
5 Jul 2024
Four key influences on the evolution of the Ukraine War in 2025
Ukraine, Russia and NATO are already considering their strategy for the military campaigns of 2025. -
4 Jul 2024
The time has come for an Australia‑Indonesia military pact
An effective alliance is founded on a common vital interest which can only be met together. Australia and Indonesia have one.