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Published daily by the Lowy Institute

  • 8 Nov 2023
    • China
    • Australia
    • Coronavirus

    Haunted by a plague

    Joel Keep , David Heslop
    Almost four years since the advent of Covid-19, the world still awaits answers on how the most devastating pandemic in 100 years first began.
  • 3 Nov 2023
    • China
    • Australia
    • Resource security
    • Technology

    Mineral futures: A critical step for Albanese’s Beijing trip

    Marina Yue Zhang
    Trade in rare earth elements and numerous minerals is essential for the energy transition – but can Australia and China find complementary ground?
  • 27 Oct 2023
    • Aid & Development
    • China – Belt and Road Initiative
    • Development Assistance
    • Emerging Donors
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Indonesia's Economy

    Geopolitics and the Jakarta-Bandung high-speed railway

    Teesta Prakash , Jack Sato
    Has the bullet train project strained the once tight relationship between Indonesia and China?
  • 26 Oct 2023
    • Central Asia
    • China
    • China's Economy
    • Chinese Trade
    • Caucasus
    • Trade

    Beijing’s interest in the Middle Corridor

    Genevieve Donnellon-May
    An economic gateway through Central Asia could provide China a much less messy trade route to Europe.
  • 25 Oct 2023
    • China
    • Philippines
    • South China Sea
    • Defence & Security

    As the world looks elsewhere, China stirs trouble in the South China Sea

    Peter Layton
    The Chinese Communist Party-controlled Global Times is already forecasting “more serious collisions”.
  • 19 Oct 2023
    • China
    • European Union
    • Energy
    • Trade

    China’s car exports pose a key question to policymakers: Compete or protect?

    Robert Walker
    How they respond will have implications for consumers and the climate.
  • 18 Oct 2023
    • China
    • Recommendations

    The Fix: Getting a read on China

    Yun Jiang
    Your weekly Interpreter feature to rake up resources and reads you might otherwise miss.
  • 18 Oct 2023
    • China
    • China's Economy
    • Australia in the World
    • Australia's Economy
    • Australia's Trade
    • Australia-United States Relations
    • China-Australia Relations
    • Global Economy
    • Australian trade, investment & economy
    • Trade
    • United States
    • US Economy

    Australia must play the geoeconomics game, or risk being side-lined

    Naoise McDonagh
    The world is moving away from a rules-based order and towards power politics. Is Canberra ready?
  • 6 Oct 2023
    • China
    • Australia
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • Energy

    Power of Siberia 2: Moving beyond a pipe dream?

    Genevieve Donnellon-May
    Australia would be wise to diversify its gas exports now before Russia’s pivot to Asia takes hold.
  • 27 Sep 2023
    • Afghanistan
    • China
    • Pakistan
    • Human rights

    The Kalash are under threat from Pakistani Taliban

    Adnan Aamir
    A remote and persecuted religious minority is an easy target for militants set on gaining territory by any means.
  • 26 Sep 2023
    • Asean
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Defence & Security
    • Maritime Security

    ASEAN’s first joint military exercise

    Rahman Yaacob
    A pyrrhic military cooperation or building capability for future contingency?
  • 21 Sep 2023
    • China
    • China's Economy
    • Global Economy
    • Trade

    China does not need currency manipulation to boost its exports

    Robert Walker , Roland Rajah
    A weak economy will itself increase China’s export competitiveness.
  • 20 Sep 2023
    • China
    • Philippines
    • International law

    How China sees its conflict with the Philippines

    Cherry Hitkari
    Taiwan, the ten-dash line, and an ever-present US are driving a wedge between Manila and Beijing.
  • 19 Sep 2023
    • China
    • Malaysia
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia

    No neutrality in espionage: Why is Malaysia tangled up in a spying case in Norway?

    Munira Mustaffa
    Asking the Kremlin would be a good start.
  • 18 Sep 2023
    • China
    • Seychelles
    • Australia
    • United States
    • Africa

    Seychelles: Washington comes calling

    Ashton Robinson
    Small island states are back on the diplomatic agenda with the West looking for strategic depth in the Indian Ocean region.
  • 15 Sep 2023
    • China
    • Taiwan
    • Defence & Security
    • Energy
    • Climate change
    • Environment
    • Sustainability

    Beijing’s plan for Taiwan challenges its offshore wind push

    Joseph Webster , Zoe Leung
    Fujian’s coast hasn’t kept up with wind power in other provinces – and military strategy seems to be blowing the other direction.
  • 12 Sep 2023
    • Asean
    • China
    • South China Sea
    • Southeast Asia

    ASEAN, China and the trust deficit

    Rahman Yaacob
    The gap between rhetoric and action is Beijing’s biggest problem – and the region showed it isn’t afraid to call this out.
  • 11 Sep 2023
    • China
    • India
    • G20

    India pushes China to the margins of the G20

    Ian Hall
    New multilateral agreements unveiled on the sidelines of the forum show how New Delhi has been working hard to curtail Beijing’s strategic influence.
  • 8 Sep 2023
    • China
    • India
    • G20

    Ahead of G20, India-China reconciliation fails to launch

    Ankit Tiwari , Sidharth Raimedhi
    Beijing’s actions speak louder than words. By failing to turn up in Delhi, Xi sent a clear signal that China has little enthusiasm for stabilising relations.
  • 7 Sep 2023
    • China
    • China's Economy
    • China's Government

    Is China finally getting serious about hukou reform?

    Henry Storey
    Unless China’s millions of migrant workers gain broader rights, “common prosperity” might turn out to be rhetorical.
  • 6 Sep 2023
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • South China Sea
    • Recommendations

    The Fix: Explaining Indonesia’s silence in the North Natuna Sea

    Aristyo Rizka Darmawan
    Your weekly Interpreter feature about issues, resources or helpful distractions that might otherwise be missed.
  • 6 Sep 2023
    • China
    • China's Economy

    China’s troubles may well get worse before they get better

    Roland Rajah , Robert Walker
    There is no straightforward path to escape weak demand and the financial risks from the ongoing real estate bust.
  • 4 Sep 2023
    • China
    • Africa

    Coup d’État in Gabon: Oil, champagne, and China’s geopolitical opportunity

    Cornelia Tremann
    Local dynamics might be a primary cause of strife, but France’s loss is China’s possible gain.
  • 4 Sep 2023
    • China

    Under Xi, the Party is winning but China is losing

    Denny Roy
    Rather than solving problems in foreign relations or the economy at home, a host of new headaches are emerging.
  • 4 Sep 2023
    • China
    • Climate change
    • United States

    Climate justice: friendshoring, China’s supremacy and America’s IR Act

    Michelle Lyons
    The goal of ensuring equitable outcomes through the energy transition must be global.
  • 1 Sep 2023
    • China
    • North Korea
    • Russia

    Can North Korea play off Russia against China?

    Khang Vu
    Pyongyang might have designs to take advantage of an increasingly desperate Moscow, but power rests with Beijing.
  • 29 Aug 2023
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • Thailand

    Cambodia, Thailand and dealing with China: The more things change…

    Jitsiree Thongnoi
    New prime ministers might be in the job, but don’t expect any big shifts in approaches to Beijing.
  • 22 Aug 2023
    • China
    • India
    • BRICS

    India’s hesitation as China pushes for BRICS expansion

    Ankit Tiwari
    New Delhi and Beijing have competing visions for adding new members and where the organisation will focus.
  • 18 Aug 2023
    • China
    • China's Economy

    China’s slowdown is nothing to celebrate

    Jenny Gordon
    The heady rates of economic growth were always going to fall – but is boom time over for commodities?
  • 17 Aug 2023
    • China
    • Japan
    • North Korea
    • South Korea
    • Defence & Security
    • United States

    Bridging the divide: the significance of the US-South Korea-Japan trilateral

    Daniel R. DePetris
    The Biden administration sees the upcoming summit as historic – China and North Korea may also, for different reasons.
  • 15 Aug 2023
    • Asean
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Malaysia
    • Philippines
    • Taiwan
    • Thailand
    • Vietnam
    • Energy

    Pipe dreams: Turning an interconnected ASEAN gas market into a reality

    Massita Ayu Cindy Putriastuti , Nadira Asrifa
    An old idea for a regional network might hold the answer for energy demand into the future.
  • 14 Aug 2023
    • China
    • India
    • Russia
    • Space exploration
    • United States

    The Moon: The great game on new turf

    Ved Shinde
    India joins a powerplay with the United States, China and Russia in the hunt for lunar treasure and strategic superiority.
  • 9 Aug 2023
    • China
    • Australia
    • Resource security
    • Technology
    • Iran

    Iran’s lithium lode: A potential strategic game-changer

    Marina Yue Zhang
    Australia might find itself on a political and economic tightrope as China looks to diversify its options for the new oil of our times.
  • 3 Aug 2023
    • Aid & Development
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Australia
    • Trade
    • Sustainability
    • Technology

    Economic diplomacy: Hard labour managing geo-economic fragmentation

    Greg Earl
    Australia faces tough choices from aid to energy in a new world of government intervention in trade and industry.
  • 3 Aug 2023
    • China
    • India
    • Russia
    • Global Economy
    • United States
    • US Economy

    De-dollarisation: shifting power between the US and BRICS

    Michael Roach
    Will a new global reserve currency threaten the greenback's supremacy? The short answer is yes.
  • 1 Aug 2023
    • China – Belt and Road Initiative
    • China
    • Pakistan

    China’s big gamble in Pakistan: A 10-year scorecard for CPEC

    Syed Fazl-e-Haider
    The monster project for the Belt and Road Initiative has a deeply troubled beginning.
  • 1 Aug 2023
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • Quad
    • Sustainability
    • United States

    Something fishy about China’s anger over the Quad’s open ocean plans

    Denny Roy
    Even illegal fishing is politicised amid growing China-US tensions.
  • 31 Jul 2023
    • China
    • China's Economy
    • Europe's Economy
    • European Union
    • Germany

    Berlin’s economic “de-risking” model could be Europe's answer to the Taiwan question

    Karl Ragas
    Germany's aim is not to “decouple” from China, but to reduce its exposure to risk. And the potential winner is Taipei.
  • 27 Jul 2023
    • China
    • United States

    Qin Gang has come and gone, but US-China drama is stuck on repeat

    Daniel R. DePetris
    The sudden and surprising demise of China’s foreign minister won’t change the systemic tensions in the relationship.
  • 26 Jul 2023
    • China
    • Australia
    • Trade
    • Coronavirus

    It’s no surprise Australia shrugged off China’s campaign of trade coercion

    Roland Rajah
    New modelling confirms an early Lowy Institute conclusion that Beijing’s bluster would cause minimal economic damage.
  • 26 Jul 2023
    • China
    • China's Economy
    • Global Economy
    • Free Trade
    • Geo-economics
    • Trade
    • WTO
    • United States
    • US Economy

    A return to old-school mercantilism?

    Ved Shinde
    Suspicion and economic competition are forcing states back in time, with protectionism and self-sufficiency the new norm.
  • 24 Jul 2023
    • China
    • North Korea
    • South Korea
    • United States

    Forget Washington, Pyongyang’s most important target has always been Beijing

    Khang Vu
    Kim Jong-un’s charm offensive with Donald Trump may have yielded few results. Not so his efforts with Xi Jinping.
  • 21 Jul 2023
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • Southeast Asia
    • Russia
    • Global Issues
    • Africa

    Who leads the world as longest in charge of their country?

    Daniel Flitton
    Put together a list and you can start to see a pattern.
  • 17 Jul 2023
    • China
    • Philippines
    • South China Sea
    • Vietnam

    It might be plastic fantastic, but Barbie lends cartoonish credibility to China’s nine-dash line

    Donald R Rothwell
    Barbie does her dash with Vietnam, showing how maps have meaning.
  • 17 Jul 2023
    • China
    • Japan
    • Taiwan
    • Australia
    • United States

    The emergence of “collective strategic ambiguity” on Taiwan

    Rupert Schulenburg
    With a change in language, has Washington over-promised on its allies’ appetite for conflict with China?
  • 14 Jul 2023
    • China
    • India
    • Philippines
    • South China Sea

    Despite the excitement, India’s South China Sea policy remains unchanged

    Abhijit Singh
    Backing the Philippines over the 2016 arbitration award doesn’t mean India is about to abandon caution in efforts to balance China.
  • 13 Jul 2023
    • Central Asia
    • China
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Putin is Xi’s useful idiot

    Ben Scott
    In the geopolitical tussle between superpowers, Russia pays the price and China reaps the benefits.
  • 11 Jul 2023
    • China
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Beijing’s bad bet on Moscow

    Ved Shinde
    The collapse of the Putin regime is something China wants to avoid. A weak Kremlin is better than a headless one.
  • 11 Jul 2023
    • China
    • Antarctica
    • Sustainability

    Charting new paths for Antarctic protection despite China’s resistance

    Claire Young
    Too much would be lost by tearing up existing agreements. There are other ways to entice Beijing to cooperate.
  • 7 Jul 2023
    • China
    • Australia
    • Defence & Security
    • Solomon Islands

    Geopolitical duel in the Pacific: Solomon Islands security at risk as Australia and China compete

    Anna Powles
    Honiara has successfully leveraged strategic competition to meet its security interests but there are worrying signs of friction.
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